All Fossil-Fuel Vehicles Will Vanish In 8 Years, Says Stanford Study - Honda Shadow Forums : Shadow Motorcycle Forum
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #1 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-16-2017, 07:59 PM Thread Starter
Member
 
Dj Smuv's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 110
All Fossil-Fuel Vehicles Will Vanish In 8 Years, Says Stanford Study

File Under: Unlikeley

From Slashdot:

Stanford University economist Tony Seba forecasts in his new report that petrol or diesel cars, buses, or trucks will no longer be sold anywhere in the world within the next eight years. As a result, the transportation market will transition and switch entirely to electrification, "leading to a collapse of oil prices and the demise of the petroleum industry as we have known it for a century," reports Financial Post. From the report:

"Seba's premise is that people will stop driving altogether. They will switch en masse to self-drive electric vehicles (EVs) that are ten times cheaper to run than fossil-based cars, with a near-zero marginal cost of fuel and an expected lifespan of 1 million miles. Only nostalgics will cling to the old habit of car ownership. The rest will adapt to vehicles on demand. It will become harder to find a petrol station, spares, or anybody to fix the 2,000 moving parts that bedevil the internal combustion engine. Dealers will disappear by 2024. Cities will ban human drivers once the data confirms how dangerous they can be behind a wheel. This will spread to suburbs, and then beyond. There will be a "mass stranding of existing vehicles." The value of second-hard cars will plunge. You will have to pay to dispose of your old vehicle. It is a twin "death spiral" for big oil and big autos, with ugly implications for some big companies on the London Stock Exchange unless they adapt in time. The long-term price of crude will fall to $25 a barrel. Most forms of shale and deep-water drilling will no longer be viable. Assets will be stranded. Scotland will forfeit any North Sea bonanza. Russia, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, and Venezuela will be in trouble."


So yeah wutchu think , fellow riders ?
Dj Smuv is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #2 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-16-2017, 08:34 PM
Member
 
grabngo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 543
It might happen, not that quickly. Fossil fuel vehicles will become something like owning a horse is today. Generally not practical but fun.

Will future riders prefer quiet smooth electric bikes over V twins?

92 VLX,
grabngo is offline  
post #3 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-16-2017, 09:17 PM
Junior Member
 
ColBleep's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 17
Thumbs down I'm movin to bartertown!


Growing old is inevitable, Growing up is optional.


ColBleep is offline  
post #4 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-16-2017, 09:28 PM
Senior Member
 
Scared's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Evansville, Indiana
Posts: 8,678
Garage
I ain't buying it. It will happen eventually, but not in the near future and not all at once.


http://i997.photobucket.com/albums/a...C64070057F.jpg

2002 750 ACE DELUXE: Sold
2003 BMW K1200GT
Ride Bell by Old Dad
Ride Bell by Gnarly
Ride Cross by "Captain D"
Scared is online now  
post #5 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-16-2017, 09:32 PM
Senior Member
 
PhantomRider64's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Jacksonville, Alabama
Posts: 2,524
Garage
Guess it's time to build a still and learn to make my own fuel!!! Maybe a lathe and mill to make parts. I don't see it happening in my lifetime.

Sent from my SM-S920L using Tapatalk

There is nothing like your knees in the breeze!!!


2013 Shadow Phantom
[IMG][/IMG]

Previous Bikes
1995 Suzuki VS800GLS Intruder
1982 Suzuki GS450L


Ride Bell By Old Dad.

Ride Cross gifted from Captain D
PhantomRider64 is offline  
post #6 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-16-2017, 11:28 PM
Senior Member
 
swifty2014's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 5,947
Garage
Sure makes you worry for all the multi-Billionairs in the middle east. What will they do for spending money?

Only a biker knows why a dog sticks his head out of a car window.
1983 750 Shadow
From the past=
1951 Cushman scooter
1962 Honda 305 Dream
1965 Honda 305 Dream
1971 Honda 175 scrambler
swifty2014 is online now  
post #7 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-17-2017, 09:26 AM
Senior Member
 
h13man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: North Central Indiana
Posts: 7,144
Lets see, a economist, at Stanford, in the state of California, speaking rather Californian, and me from Indiana, I'll have Alzhiemers by that time or so old.....







06' 1100 Spirit (sold 6/23/13)
71' CL 100 "Lil' Sista"
99' Valkyrie
Ride Bell by "Yoman"

To everything there are exceptions.
h13man is offline  
post #8 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-17-2017, 09:43 AM
Senior Member
 
ABQ-Jammer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Wherever you go, there you are!
Posts: 2,237
Garage
I'm with you guys, and think this "unlikely", at least not in the NEAR future. UNLESS the Government "mandates" such a thing, that is, though I don't think the big oil lobbyists will allow that to happen, anyway. I suspect their influence is the reason this hasn't happened already.


(((=-JammeR-=)))
"My Life is NOT a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving in a pretty and well-preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside, in a cloud of smoke, tires screeching, totally used up, thoroughly worn out, and loudly proclaiming...WOW! What a Ride!!"
'03 Spirit 750
Ride Bells by blue flames and shadowride69 (THANKS!!)
ABQ-Jammer is offline  
post #9 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-17-2017, 01:34 PM
Senior Member
 
swifty2014's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 5,947
Garage
Us old bikers will still be mobile. ELECTRICALLY
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	coolest wheel chair.jpg
Views:	24
Size:	59.7 KB
ID:	211881  

Only a biker knows why a dog sticks his head out of a car window.
1983 750 Shadow
From the past=
1951 Cushman scooter
1962 Honda 305 Dream
1965 Honda 305 Dream
1971 Honda 175 scrambler
swifty2014 is online now  
post #10 of 24 (permalink) Old 05-17-2017, 03:05 PM
Senior Member
 
PhantomRider64's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Jacksonville, Alabama
Posts: 2,524
Garage
Quote:
Originally Posted by swifty2014 View Post
Us old bikers will still be mobile. ELECTRICALLY
Something like that or one with tracks.

Sent from my SM-S920L using Tapatalk

There is nothing like your knees in the breeze!!!


2013 Shadow Phantom
[IMG][/IMG]

Previous Bikes
1995 Suzuki VS800GLS Intruder
1982 Suzuki GS450L


Ride Bell By Old Dad.

Ride Cross gifted from Captain D
PhantomRider64 is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the Honda Shadow Forums : Shadow Motorcycle Forum forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome